Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000179 0.000201 0.000223 0.000249 0.000279 0.000310 0.000347
2025-01-12 0.000147 0.000176 0.000208 0.000248 0.000295 0.000349 0.000417
2025-01-19 0.000126 0.000158 0.000197 0.000248 0.000312 0.000390 0.000492
2025-01-26 0.000107 0.000142 0.000185 0.000244 0.000322 0.000423 0.000561
2025-02-02 0.000098 0.000135 0.000185 0.000255 0.000352 0.000481 0.000668
2025-02-09 0.000088 0.000127 0.000180 0.000258 0.000371 0.000528 0.000765
2025-02-16 0.000080 0.000119 0.000175 0.000261 0.000389 0.000574 0.000863
2025-02-23 0.000072 0.000111 0.000169 0.000260 0.000402 0.000613 0.000954
2025-03-02 0.000065 0.000103 0.000161 0.000256 0.000407 0.000641 0.001031
2025-03-09 0.000059 0.000096 0.000155 0.000254 0.000417 0.000676 0.001122
2025-03-16 0.000054 0.000091 0.000151 0.000254 0.000429 0.000716 0.001223
2025-03-23 0.000050 0.000087 0.000147 0.000254 0.000441 0.000754 0.001325
2025-03-30 0.000045 0.000081 0.000141 0.000251 0.000447 0.000787 0.001424
2025-04-06 0.000042 0.000076 0.000137 0.000250 0.000459 0.000830 0.001547
2025-04-13 0.000039 0.000073 0.000134 0.000252 0.000474 0.000881 0.001687
2025-04-20 0.000036 0.000068 0.000129 0.000248 0.000480 0.000915 0.001801
2025-04-27 0.000034 0.000068 0.000131 0.000259 0.000515 0.001005 0.002032
2025-05-04 0.000033 0.000066 0.000130 0.000263 0.000535 0.001071 0.002220
2025-05-11 0.000031 0.000064 0.000128 0.000266 0.000554 0.001134 0.002410
2025-05-18 0.000029 0.000061 0.000125 0.000266 0.000566 0.001185 0.002577
2025-05-25 0.000026 0.000057 0.000120 0.000261 0.000568 0.001215 0.002705
2025-06-01 0.000025 0.000055 0.000117 0.000259 0.000577 0.001261 0.002871
2025-06-08 0.000023 0.000052 0.000115 0.000259 0.000590 0.001316 0.003063